Start Mike Washington Jr. over Tyler Allgeier — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Washington — the matchup and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Mike Washington Jr. draws the softer matchup (MIA ranks 23 of 32 against RBs; LAC ranks 8) and plays in the better game script (22.3 implied team points to 17.0). Allgeier's edge is the consensus rank, RB45 to RB45. The gap is comfortable.

Mike Washington Jr.

RB45LVvs MIA

5.86.36.8 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Tyler Allgeier

RB45ARIvs LAC

5.46.16.8 Projected Points

Sit

Why Mike Washington Jr.

Toss-Up

Rookie RB2 in change-of-pace role. Complementary back behind the feature runner with no NFL sample yet.

Toss-up — RB45 consensus, projects RB46 this week: MIA is the 10th-softest matchup vs RBs, 6.8 PPR projected vs MIA.

MIA ranks 23 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 22.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart.

Why Tyler Allgeier

Sit

Power back splitting a committee backfield. Compact downhill runner and short-yardage/goal-line finisher with red-zone scoring value.

Sit — RB45 consensus, projects RB47 this week: LAC is the 8th-toughest matchup vs RBs, 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling.

LAC ranks 8 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 17.0 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 30% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Mike Washington Jr.	Tyler Allgeier
Projected points	5.86.36.8	5.46.16.8
Consensus rank	RB45	RB45
Opponent vs position	MIA · 23 of 3217-game sample	LAC · 8 of 3217-game sample
Rushing Yards	26 of 32	9 of 32
Rushing TDs	19 of 32	12 of 32
Rushing Attempts	21 of 32	6 of 32
Receptions	26 of 32	6 of 32
Receiving Yards	25 of 32	7 of 32
Anytime TD	23 of 32	6 of 32
Target share	—	3%(2025)
Reception share	—	4%(2025)
Implied total · spread	22.3-3.0	17.0+11.5
Depth chart	RB2	RB2
Snap share	—	30%(2025)