Keaton Mitchell or Mike Washington Jr.: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Keaton Mitchell and Mike Washington Jr. grade out even this week. Mitchell's best edge is the game script (28.5 implied points to 22.3), Washington's best edge is availability (a clean report to Mitchell's Q) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Keaton Mitchell
5.15.66.2 Projected Points

Mike Washington Jr.
5.86.36.8 Projected Points
Why Keaton Mitchell
Toss-UpRB2 and change-of-pace back. Elite home-run speed used as a complementary explosive-play threat.
Toss-up — RB46 consensus, projects RB49 this week: ARI is the 7th-softest matchup vs RBs, 28.5 implied team total.
- Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
- ARI ranks 26 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 17-game sample).
- Vegas implies 28.5 team points as 11.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 18% snap share in 2025.
Why Mike Washington Jr.
Toss-UpRookie RB2 in change-of-pace role. Complementary back behind the feature runner with no NFL sample yet.
Toss-up — RB45 consensus, projects RB46 this week: MIA is the 10th-softest matchup vs RBs, 6.8 PPR projected vs MIA.
- MIA ranks 23 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 17-game sample).
- Vegas implies 22.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Keaton Mitchell | Mike Washington Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.15.66.2 | 5.86.36.8 |
| Consensus rank | RB46 | RB45 |
| Opponent vs position | ARI · 26 of 3217-game sample | MIA · 23 of 3217-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 29 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | 29 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | 26 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Receptions | 18 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 24 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 31 of 32 | 23 of 32 |
| Target share | 4%(2025) | — |
| Reception share | 4%(2025) | — |
| Implied total · spread | 28.5-11.5 | 22.3-3.0 |
| Depth chart | RB2 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 18%(2025) | — |
| Injury designation | Q | — |
Signal breakdown
- 6.2 vs 6.8 projected PPR pointsMike Washington Jr. +
- Rank 46 vs 45Mike Washington Jr. +
- Opponent DvP rank 26 vs 23 (32 = softest)Keaton Mitchell +
- Implied 28.5 vs 22.3 team pointsKeaton Mitchell +
- Q vs no designationMike Washington Jr. +
- Snap shareeven
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Mitchell comparisons
More Washington comparisons
- M. Washington Jr.Mike Washington Jr.RBLVvs MIA
W. MarksWoody MarksRBHOUvs BUF
- M. Washington Jr.Mike Washington Jr.RBLVvs MIA
T. AllgeierTyler AllgeierRBARIvs LAC
- M. Washington Jr.Mike Washington Jr.RBLVvs MIA
C. BrooksChris BrooksRBGBvs MIN
- M. Washington Jr.Mike Washington Jr.RBLVvs MIA
J. HillJustice HillRBBALvs IND
This week’s toughest calls
- O. HamptonOmarion HamptonRBLACvs ARI
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs ATL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
M. NabersMalik NabersWRNYGvs DAL
- M. NabersMalik NabersWRNYGvs DAL
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
M. Pittman Jr.Michael Pittman Jr.WRPITvs ATL
- M. Pittman Jr.Michael Pittman Jr.WRPITvs ATL
D. MetcalfDK MetcalfWRPITvs ATL
- D. MetcalfDK MetcalfWRPITvs ATL
D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
I. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs ARI
J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CIN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- M. NabersMalik NabersWRNYGvs DAL
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
M. Pittman Jr.Michael Pittman Jr.WRPITvs ATL
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
- T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
K. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
- K. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
Want full matchup analysis & AI picks? →
Save your roster and get a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up call on every player, every week — plus prop pages, matchup data, and AI-powered NFL analysis.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.
