Mike Washington Jr. or Woody Marks: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Mike Washington Jr. and Woody Marks grade out even this week. Washington's best edge is the matchup (23 of 32 to 20), Marks's best edge is the projection (8.3 to 6.8) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Mike Washington Jr.

RB45LVvs MIA

5.86.36.8 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Woody Marks

RB44HOUvs BUF

6.87.58.3 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Mike Washington Jr.

Toss-Up

Rookie RB2 in change-of-pace role. Complementary back behind the feature runner with no NFL sample yet.

Toss-up — RB45 consensus, projects RB46 this week: MIA is the 10th-softest matchup vs RBs, 6.8 PPR projected vs MIA.

MIA ranks 23 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 22.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart.

Why Woody Marks

Toss-Up

RB2 behind David Montgomery. Between-the-tackles committee back who carried 196 times for 703 yards as a rookie with light pass-game usage.

Toss-up — RB44 consensus, projects RB43 this week: 7% target share in 2025, 8.3 PPR projected vs BUF.

BUF ranks 20 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 52% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Mike Washington Jr.	Woody Marks
Projected points	5.86.36.8	6.87.58.3
Consensus rank	RB45	RB44
Opponent vs position	MIA · 23 of 3217-game sample	BUF · 20 of 3217-game sample
Rushing Yards	26 of 32	27 of 32
Rushing TDs	19 of 32	32 of 32
Rushing Attempts	21 of 32	16 of 32
Receptions	26 of 32	10 of 32
Receiving Yards	25 of 32	6 of 32
Anytime TD	23 of 32	26 of 32
Target share	—	7%(2025)
Reception share	—	7%(2025)
Implied total · spread	22.3-3.0	22.0+1.5
Depth chart	RB2	RB2
Snap share	—	52%(2025)