Start Woody Marks over Chris Brooks — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Marks — the snap share and matchup edges are too wide to ignore.

Woody Marks plays a 52% snap share to Brooks's 21% and draws the softer matchup (BUF ranks 20 of 32 against RBs; MIN ranks 13). Brooks's edge is the game script, 23.0 implied points to 22.0. The gap is comfortable.

Chris Brooks

RB46GBvs MIN

5.86.87.7 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Woody Marks

RB44HOUvs BUF

6.87.58.3 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Chris Brooks

Toss-Up

RB2 in complementary role. Big-bodied back with special-teams value and short-yardage/pass-protection snaps.

Toss-up — RB46 consensus, projects RB44 this week: 4% target share in 2025, 7.7 PPR projected vs MIN.

MIN ranks 13 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 21% snap share in 2025.

Why Woody Marks

Toss-Up

RB2 behind David Montgomery. Between-the-tackles committee back who carried 196 times for 703 yards as a rookie with light pass-game usage.

Toss-up — RB44 consensus, projects RB43 this week: 7% target share in 2025, 8.3 PPR projected vs BUF.

BUF ranks 20 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 52% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Chris Brooks	Woody Marks
Projected points	5.86.87.7	6.87.58.3
Consensus rank	RB46	RB44
Opponent vs position	MIN · 13 of 3217-game sample	BUF · 20 of 3217-game sample
Rushing Yards	24 of 32	27 of 32
Rushing TDs	12 of 32	32 of 32
Rushing Attempts	32 of 32	16 of 32
Receptions	2 of 32	10 of 32
Receiving Yards	1 of 32	6 of 32
Anytime TD	6 of 32	26 of 32
Target share	4%(2025)	7%(2025)
Reception share	4%(2025)	7%(2025)
Implied total · spread	23.0-1.5	22.0+1.5
Depth chart	RB2	RB2
Snap share	21%(2025)	52%(2025)