Dallas Goedert or Kenny Gainwell: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Goedert's 20% target share on an 85% snap share over 15 games is elite volume for the position; he's the clear pass-game hub at TE for Philadelphia.
• A 26.0 implied team total and a 5.5-point favorite spread points to a script with red-zone chances rather than garbage-time desperation — Goedert is a scoring threat in that range.
• 10.9 projected points at TE7 clears the bar comfortably over a replacement streamer in 12-team PPR, and he carries no injury designation.
• The DvP composite of 21 of 32 is off a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so the matchup grade is noise here — role and game environment carry the call.

The call

• The receiving role is what keeps him in play: a 16% target share out of the backfield across 17 games is genuine PPR volume, and a 50% snap share means he's on the field for most passing downs.
• RB31 and 10.8 projected points is the definition of a flex-tier back — startable if your alternative is a committee back or a low-target WR3, benchable if you have anything with a clearer path to volume.
• The DvP composite lists Cincinnati 26 of 32 (softest end), but it's a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so give it no weight in the decision.
• A 23.5 implied total and a 3.5-point spread point to a competitive, script-neutral game — no strong tailwind toward volume carries, no blowout risk that buries him.