Start RJ Harvey over Tyler Allgeier — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Harvey — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.

RJ Harvey projects 8.5 to Allgeier's 6.8 and is the higher consensus play (RB41 to RB45). No signal favors Allgeier this week. The gap is comfortable.

RJ Harvey

RB41DENvs KC

5.57.08.5 Projected Points

Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB45ARIvs LAC

5.46.16.8 Projected Points

Sit

Why RJ Harvey

Sit

RB2 and passing-down complement. Explosive change-of-pace back with strong receiving production and red-zone scoring.

Sit — RB41 by consensus and projection: KC is the 9th-toughest matchup vs RBs, 10% target share in 2025.

KC ranks 9 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 20.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 42% snap share in 2025.

Why Tyler Allgeier

Sit

Power back splitting a committee backfield. Compact downhill runner and short-yardage/goal-line finisher with red-zone scoring value.

Sit — RB45 consensus, projects RB47 this week: LAC is the 8th-toughest matchup vs RBs, 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling.

LAC ranks 8 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 17-game sample).
Vegas implies 17.0 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 30% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	RJ Harvey	Tyler Allgeier
Projected points	5.57.08.5	5.46.16.8
Consensus rank	RB41	RB45
Opponent vs position	KC · 9 of 3217-game sample	LAC · 8 of 3217-game sample
Rushing Yards	8 of 32	9 of 32
Rushing TDs	4 of 32	12 of 32
Rushing Attempts	10 of 32	6 of 32
Receptions	12 of 32	6 of 32
Receiving Yards	14 of 32	7 of 32
Anytime TD	6 of 32	6 of 32
Target share	10%(2025)	3%(2025)
Reception share	12%(2025)	4%(2025)
Implied total · spread	20.0+2.5	17.0+11.5
Depth chart	RB2	RB2
Snap share	42%(2025)	30%(2025)