Dallas Goedert or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Goedert — the snap share and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
Dallas Goedert plays a 85% snap share to Andrews's 62% and is the higher consensus play (TE12 to TE15). Andrews's edge is the game script, 26.5 implied points to 26.0. The gap is narrow.

Dallas Goedert
6.88.810.9 Projected Points

Mark Andrews
6.68.410.1 Projected Points
Why Dallas Goedert
Start· mediumStarting TE and red-zone weapon. Reliable chain-mover with strong yards-after-catch and blocking ability.
85% snap share and a 20% target share in a 26-point implied team total make Goedert a locked-in TE1 play as a 5.5-point favorite.
- WSH ranks 21 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Role is not in question: 85% snap share and a 20% target share across 15 games mean he's on the field and involved on every meaningful drive.
- Philadelphia's 26.0 implied total with a -5.5 spread points to a productive, red-zone-heavy afternoon, where Goedert has always been a factor.
- Washington grades 21 of 32 in DvP composite vs tight ends — a slightly favorable draw, though the 0-game sample means it shouldn't drive the call on its own.
- TE12 consensus with 10.9 projected points is starter territory at a thin position; no injury designation removes the usual Goedert availability worry.
Why Mark Andrews
Start· mediumTE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.
Healthy, no designation, 17% target share on a team with a 26.5 implied total — Andrews' red-zone role plays up in a projected 3.5-point win.
- IND ranks 20 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.5 team points as 3.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 62% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Availability is clean (no designation) and the role is locked: 62% snap share with a 17% target share is starter-level volume at a position where most streamers see single-digit target shares.
- A 26.5 implied team total and a -3.5 spread point to a positive-but-competitive script — enough scoring to feed touchdown equity without a run-out clock blowout that erases pass volume.
- The 20-of-32 DvP composite is middling-to-soft, but it comes off a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so lean on the role and game environment rather than the matchup grade.
- Risk is the ceiling: 10.1 projected points and a TE15 consensus rank make him a floor play, not a difference-maker — if you have a top-8 TE alternative, use it.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Dallas Goedert | Mark Andrews |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.88.810.9 | 6.68.410.1 |
| Consensus rank | TE12 | TE15 |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 21 of 320-game sample | IND · 20 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 11 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 26 of 32 | 31 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 30 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Targets | 9 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 31 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Target share | 20%(2025) | 17%(2025) |
| Reception share | 21%(2025) | 17%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 26.0-5.5 | 26.5-3.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 85%(2025) | 62%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 10.9 vs 10.1 projected PPR pointsDallas Goedert +
- Rank 12 vs 15Dallas Goedert +
- Opponent DvP rank 21 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 26.0 vs 26.5 team pointsMark Andrews +
- No injury designationseven
- 85% vs 62% snap shareDallas Goedert +
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