Courtland Sutton or Jameson Williams: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is locked in: 85% snap share and 21% target share over 17 games — he sees the ball regardless of the WR-2 label on the depth chart.
• The matchup grade (10 of 32) reads tough but comes off a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't override a proven usage profile.
• A 20.0 implied total and 2.5-point spread point to a competitive game; if Denver trails, the target volume only goes up in a pass-first script.
• Risk is efficiency, not opportunity — 11.7 projected points is flex-caliber, and WR31 is inside the startable range in a 12-team PPR lineup.

The call

• Role is not in question: 90% snap share and a 19% target share over 17 games make him the clear WR-2 in one of the league's highest-scoring offenses.
• Vegas backs the volume — a 27.8 implied team total gives Detroit plenty of scoring chances, and his 12.1 projected points slot him as a WR26, a startable weekly floor in 12-team PPR.
• The DvP composite ranks New Orleans 10 of 32 against the position, but that's a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't override the role and team-total evidence.
• Main risk is the profile: as a field-stretcher his week-to-week output is spiky, and a -7.0 spread could shift Detroit to the run late if they build a lead.