Kyle Pitts Sr. or Tyler Warren: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and Tyler Warren grade out even this week. Pitts's best edge is availability (a clean report to Warren's Q), Warren's best edge is the projection (12.2 to 10.4) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE7ATLvs PIT

5.68.010.4 Projected Points

Start· medium

Tyler Warren

TE4INDvs BAL

7.39.812.2 Projected Points

Start

Why Kyle Pitts Sr.

Start· medium

TE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.

TE7 with an 88% snap share and 23% target share — that volume plays in any 12-team PPR lineup, even in a modest 19.8-point team total.

PIT ranks 27 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 19.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 88% snap share in 2025.

The call

A 23% target share at tight end is elite-tier usage, and the 88% snap rate means Pitts is on the field for every situational package — that floor alone clears replacement level at a thin position.
Consensus has him TE7 at 10.4 projected points; you are not finding a better option on the waiver wire in a 12-team league.
The DvP composite lists Pittsburgh 27 of 32 (32 = softest), but it carries a 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence, so treat it as neutral rather than a bonus.
The real drag is the 19.8 implied team total with a 3.0-point spread — a low-scoring script caps the ceiling, but the target volume protects the floor.

Why Tyler Warren

Start

TE1 and high-volume mismatch receiver. Move-piece with contested-catch strength and gadget rushing usage.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE4: BAL is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 21% target share in 2025.

Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
BAL ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Kyle Pitts Sr.	Tyler Warren
Projected points	5.68.010.4	7.39.812.2
Consensus rank	TE7	TE4
Opponent vs position	PIT · 27 of 320-game sample	BAL · 5 of 320-game sample
Receptions	29 of 32	7 of 32
Receiving Yards	28 of 32	9 of 32
Receiving TDs	26 of 32	1 of 32
Targets	28 of 32	7 of 32
Anytime TD	26 of 32	1 of 32
Target share	23%(2025)	21%(2025)
Reception share	27%(2025)	21%(2025)
Implied total · spread	19.8+3.0	23.0+3.5
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	88%(2025)	84%(2025)
Injury designation	—	Q