Trey McBride or Tyler Warren: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start McBride — the availability and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Trey McBride is the healthier side of this call (Warren carries a Q tag) and projects 14.4 to Warren's 12.2. Warren's edge is the game script, 23.0 implied points to 17.0. The gap is comfortable.
Trey McBride
TE2ARIvs LAC
7.911.114.4 Projected Points
Start
Tyler Warren
TE4INDvs BAL
7.39.812.2 Projected Points
Start
Why Trey McBride
StartTE1 and offensive focal point. Elite target-volume receiving tight end with YAC power and All-Pro caliber production.
Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE2: LAC is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling.
- LAC ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 17.0 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 91% snap share in 2025.
Why Tyler Warren
StartTE1 and high-volume mismatch receiver. Move-piece with contested-catch strength and gadget rushing usage.
Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE4: BAL is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 21% target share in 2025.
- Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
- BAL ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Trey McBride | Tyler Warren |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.911.114.4 | 7.39.812.2 |
| Consensus rank | TE2 | TE4 |
| Opponent vs position | LAC · 5 of 320-game sample | BAL · 5 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 3 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 4 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 9 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 2 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 9 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 27%(2025) | 21%(2025) |
| Reception share | 30%(2025) | 21%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 17.0+11.5 | 23.0+3.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 91%(2025) | 84%(2025) |
| Injury designation | — | Q |
Signal breakdown
- 14.4 vs 12.2 projected PPR pointsTrey McBride +
- Rank 2 vs 4Trey McBride +
- Opponent DvP rank 5 vs 5 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 17.0 vs 23.0 team pointsTyler Warren +
- no designation vs QTrey McBride +
- 91% vs 84% snap shareTrey McBride +
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