Start Brock Bowers over Tyler Warren — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Bowers — the projection and availability edges are too wide to ignore.

Brock Bowers projects 15.6 to Warren's 12.2 and is the healthier side of this call (Warren carries a Q tag). Warren's edge is the game script, 23.0 implied points to 22.3. The gap is wide.

Brock Bowers

TE1LVvs MIA

9.612.615.6 Projected Points

Start

Tyler Warren

TE4INDvs BAL

7.39.812.2 Projected Points

Start

Why Brock Bowers

Start

TE1 and offensive focal point. Elite separation and yards-after-catch ability; mismatch weapon with WR-level target volume.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE1: MIA is the 8th-softest matchup vs TEs, 25% target share in 2025.

MIA ranks 25 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 22.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share in 2025.

Why Tyler Warren

Start

TE1 and high-volume mismatch receiver. Move-piece with contested-catch strength and gadget rushing usage.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE4: BAL is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 21% target share in 2025.

Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
BAL ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Brock Bowers	Tyler Warren
Projected points	9.612.615.6	7.39.812.2
Consensus rank	TE1	TE4
Opponent vs position	MIA · 25 of 320-game sample	BAL · 5 of 320-game sample
Receptions	30 of 32	7 of 32
Receiving Yards	29 of 32	9 of 32
Receiving TDs	21 of 32	1 of 32
Targets	23 of 32	7 of 32
Anytime TD	20 of 32	1 of 32
Target share	25%(2025)	21%(2025)
Reception share	27%(2025)	21%(2025)
Implied total · spread	22.3-3.0	23.0+3.5
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	86%(2025)	84%(2025)
Injury designation	—	Q