Start Tyler Warren over Harold Fannin Jr. — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Warren — the game script and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Tyler Warren plays in the better game script (23.0 implied team points to 16.5) and projects 12.2 to Fannin's 11.1. Fannin's edge is availability, a clean report to Warren's Q. The gap is narrow.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs JAX

6.28.611.1 Projected Points

Start

Tyler Warren

TE4INDvs BAL

7.39.812.2 Projected Points

Start

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: JAX is the 9th-softest matchup vs TEs, 16.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

JAX ranks 24 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 16.5 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 76% snap share in 2025.

Why Tyler Warren

Start

TE1 and high-volume mismatch receiver. Move-piece with contested-catch strength and gadget rushing usage.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE4: BAL is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 21% target share in 2025.

Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
BAL ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Harold Fannin Jr.	Tyler Warren
Projected points	6.28.611.1	7.39.812.2
Consensus rank	TE5	TE4
Opponent vs position	JAX · 24 of 320-game sample	BAL · 5 of 320-game sample
Receptions	26 of 32	7 of 32
Receiving Yards	22 of 32	9 of 32
Receiving TDs	21 of 32	1 of 32
Targets	31 of 32	7 of 32
Anytime TD	20 of 32	1 of 32
Target share	22%(2025)	21%(2025)
Reception share	24%(2025)	21%(2025)
Implied total · spread	16.5+7.5	23.0+3.5
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	76%(2025)	84%(2025)
Injury designation	—	Q