Colston Loveland or Harold Fannin Jr.: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Loveland — the game script and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Colston Loveland plays in the better game script (23.5 implied team points to 16.5) and projects 12.0 to Fannin's 11.1. Fannin's edge is snap share, 76% to 65%. The gap is comfortable.

Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland

TE3CHIvs CAR

Projected Points

Start
Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs JAX

Projected Points

Start

Why Colston Loveland

Start

TE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Seam-stretching move tight end with flex alignment and rising target volume.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE3: 16% target share in 2025, 12.0 PPR projected vs CAR.

  • CAR ranks 12 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 65% snap share in 2025.

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Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: JAX is the 9th-softest matchup vs TEs, 16.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • JAX ranks 24 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 16.5 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 76% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

MetricColston LovelandHarold Fannin Jr.
Projected points
Consensus rankTE3TE5
Opponent vs positionCAR · 12 of 320-game sampleJAX · 24 of 320-game sample
Receptions11 of 3226 of 32
Receiving Yards24 of 3222 of 32
Receiving TDs9 of 3221 of 32
Targets9 of 3231 of 32
Anytime TD9 of 3220 of 32
Target share16%(2025)22%(2025)
Reception share19%(2025)24%(2025)
Implied total · spread23.5-2.516.5+7.5
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share65%(2025)76%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 12.0 vs 11.1 projected PPR pointsColston Loveland +
  • Rank 3 vs 5Colston Loveland +
  • Opponent DvP rank 12 vs 24 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 23.5 vs 16.5 team pointsColston Loveland +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 65% vs 76% snap shareHarold Fannin Jr. +

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