Kyle Pitts Sr. or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and Mark Andrews grade out even this week. Pitts's best edge is snap share (88% to 62%), Andrews's best edge is the game script (26.5 implied points to 19.8) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE7ATLvs PIT

Projected Points

Start· medium
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews

TE11BALvs IND

Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Kyle Pitts Sr.

Start· medium

TE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.

TE7 with an 88% snap share and 23% target share — that volume plays in any 12-team PPR lineup, even in a modest 19.8-point team total.

  • PIT ranks 27 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 88% snap share in 2025.

The call

  • A 23% target share at tight end is elite-tier usage, and the 88% snap rate means Pitts is on the field for every situational package — that floor alone clears replacement level at a thin position.
  • Consensus has him TE7 at 10.4 projected points; you are not finding a better option on the waiver wire in a 12-team league.
  • The DvP composite lists Pittsburgh 27 of 32 (32 = softest), but it carries a 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence, so treat it as neutral rather than a bonus.
  • The real drag is the 19.8 implied team total with a 3.0-point spread — a low-scoring script caps the ceiling, but the target volume protects the floor.

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

Healthy, no designation, 17% target share on a team with a 26.5 implied total — Andrews' red-zone role plays up in a projected 3.5-point win.

  • IND ranks 20 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 26.5 team points as 3.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 62% snap share in 2025.

The call

  • Availability is clean (no designation) and the role is locked: 62% snap share with a 17% target share is starter-level volume at a position where most streamers see single-digit target shares.
  • A 26.5 implied team total and a -3.5 spread point to a positive-but-competitive script — enough scoring to feed touchdown equity without a run-out clock blowout that erases pass volume.
  • The 20-of-32 DvP composite is middling-to-soft, but it comes off a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so lean on the role and game environment rather than the matchup grade.
  • Risk is the ceiling: 10.1 projected points and a TE15 consensus rank make him a floor play, not a difference-maker — if you have a top-8 TE alternative, use it.

Head-to-head stats

MetricKyle Pitts Sr.Mark Andrews
Projected points
Consensus rankTE7TE11
Opponent vs positionPIT · 27 of 320-game sampleIND · 20 of 320-game sample
Receptions29 of 3225 of 32
Receiving Yards28 of 3231 of 32
Receiving TDs26 of 329 of 32
Targets28 of 3224 of 32
Anytime TD26 of 329 of 32
Target share23%(2025)17%(2025)
Reception share27%(2025)17%(2025)
Implied total · spread19.8+3.026.5-3.5
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share88%(2025)62%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 10.4 vs 10.1 projected PPR pointsKyle Pitts Sr. +
  • Rank 7 vs 11Kyle Pitts Sr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 27 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 19.8 vs 26.5 team pointsMark Andrews +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 88% vs 62% snap shareKyle Pitts Sr. +

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