Harold Fannin Jr. or Kyle Pitts Sr.: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Harold Fannin Jr. and Kyle Pitts Sr. grade out even this week. Fannin's best edge is the projection (11.1 to 10.4), Pitts's best edge is the game script (19.8 implied points to 16.5) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs JAX

Projected Points

Start
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE7ATLvs PIT

Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: JAX is the 9th-softest matchup vs TEs, 16.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • JAX ranks 24 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 16.5 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 76% snap share in 2025.

Why Kyle Pitts Sr.

Start· medium

TE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.

TE7 with an 88% snap share and 23% target share — that volume plays in any 12-team PPR lineup, even in a modest 19.8-point team total.

  • PIT ranks 27 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 88% snap share in 2025.

The call

  • A 23% target share at tight end is elite-tier usage, and the 88% snap rate means Pitts is on the field for every situational package — that floor alone clears replacement level at a thin position.
  • Consensus has him TE7 at 10.4 projected points; you are not finding a better option on the waiver wire in a 12-team league.
  • The DvP composite lists Pittsburgh 27 of 32 (32 = softest), but it carries a 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence, so treat it as neutral rather than a bonus.
  • The real drag is the 19.8 implied team total with a 3.0-point spread — a low-scoring script caps the ceiling, but the target volume protects the floor.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarold Fannin Jr.Kyle Pitts Sr.
Projected points
Consensus rankTE5TE7
Opponent vs positionJAX · 24 of 320-game samplePIT · 27 of 320-game sample
Receptions26 of 3229 of 32
Receiving Yards22 of 3228 of 32
Receiving TDs21 of 3226 of 32
Targets31 of 3228 of 32
Anytime TD20 of 3226 of 32
Target share22%(2025)23%(2025)
Reception share24%(2025)27%(2025)
Implied total · spread16.5+7.519.8+3.0
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share76%(2025)88%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 11.1 vs 10.4 projected PPR pointsHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • Rank 5 vs 7Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 24 vs 27 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 16.5 vs 19.8 team pointsKyle Pitts Sr. +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 76% vs 88% snap shareKyle Pitts Sr. +

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