Start Chris Boswell over Will Reichard — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Boswell — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Chris Boswell is the higher consensus play (K6 to K12) and projects 9.0 to Reichard's 8.4. Reichard's edge is red-zone opportunity, 1.3 to 1.2 stalls per game. The gap is narrow.

Chris Boswell

K6PITvs ATL

9.09.09.0 Projected Points

Start· medium

Will Reichard

K12MINvs GB

8.48.48.4 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Chris Boswell

Start· medium

Starting PK and one of the league's most accurate. Big leg with proven cold-weather clutch production.

Boswell is the K12 play with a 22.8 implied total, 2.1 projected FG tries and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game feeding the leg.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
PIT's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has PIT at 22.8 points as 3-point favorites.
84% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.

The call

Consensus K12 at 9.0 projected points is squarely startable in a 12-team league — no replacement-level kicker beats that baseline.
Pittsburgh's 22.8 implied total plus 1.2 red-zone stalls per game funnels drives into field-goal tries: 1.9 makes on 2.1 attempts with 2.4 extra points projected.
He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, hitting 84% (27/32) and connecting from 50-plus in six games with a 60-yard long, so distance isn't a cap on his range.
Only real wrinkle is an open roof with no forecast yet — check wind before kickoff, but nothing in the sheet suggests a problem.

Why Will Reichard

Toss-Up

Starting K with strong leg. Handles kickoffs and long-range attempts.

Toss-up — K12 by consensus, projects K14 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.3 red-zone stalls a game.

Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
MIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Chris Boswell	Will Reichard
Projected points	9.09.09.0	8.48.48.4
Consensus rank	K6	K12
Projected FG attempts	2.1	2.1
Red-zone stalls / game	1.2(2025)	1.3(2025)
Kicking conditions	—	Indoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread	22.8-3.0	21.5+1.5
Field-goal %	84.4%(2025)	94.3%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1
Start/Sit record	—	0–0+1 toss-up