Cam Little or Chris Boswell: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Cam Little and Chris Boswell grade out even this week. Little's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.6 to 1.2 stalls per game), Boswell's best edge is the projection (9.0 to 8.8) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Cam Little

Cam Little

K6JAXvs CLE

Projected Points

Start
Chris Boswell

Chris Boswell

K6PITvs ATL

Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Start — K6 by consensus, projects K7 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.8 pts projected vs CLE.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • JAX's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has JAX at 24 points as 7.5-point favorites.

Why Chris Boswell

Start· medium

Starting PK and one of the league's most accurate. Big leg with proven cold-weather clutch production.

Boswell is the K12 play with a 22.8 implied total, 2.1 projected FG tries and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game feeding the leg.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • PIT's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has PIT at 22.8 points as 3-point favorites.

The call

  • Consensus K12 at 9.0 projected points is squarely startable in a 12-team league — no replacement-level kicker beats that baseline.
  • Pittsburgh's 22.8 implied total plus 1.2 red-zone stalls per game funnels drives into field-goal tries: 1.9 makes on 2.1 attempts with 2.4 extra points projected.
  • He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, hitting 84% (27/32) and connecting from 50-plus in six games with a 60-yard long, so distance isn't a cap on his range.
  • Only real wrinkle is an open roof with no forecast yet — check wind before kickoff, but nothing in the sheet suggests a problem.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCam LittleChris Boswell
Projected points
Consensus rankK6K6
Projected FG attempts2.12.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.2(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread24.0-7.522.8-3.0
Field-goal %88.2%(2025)84.4%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 8.8 vs 9.0 projected PPR pointsChris Boswell +
  • Rank 6 vs 6Chris Boswell +
  • 2.1 vs 2.1 projected attemptsChris Boswell +
  • 1.6 vs 1.2 red-zone stalls per gameCam Little +
  • 3 mph, 99°F, clear vs 6 mph, 82°F, cleareven
  • Implied 24.0 vs 22.8 team pointsCam Little +
  • No injury designationseven

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