Chris Boswell or Harrison Mevis: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Mevis' Rams offense outscores Boswell's Steelers, and that's what tips it

Both kickers sit K1 on their own depth charts with no injury cloud, so this comes down to whose offense sets him up better. The Rams project as the higher-scoring team, and a unit that stalls more often in the red zone actually helps a kicker's floor by turning would-be touchdowns into field-goal tries. Boswell counters with the sharper accuracy profile and a track record of drilling 50-plus balls, which matters if this one turns into a low-scoring, stall-heavy grind instead. The gap in raw projection is small enough that either lineup call is defensible, but the model leans Mevis on game script alone.

What flips it: A weather downgrade for either open-air venue that turns the game into a low-scoring slog favors Boswell's accuracy over Mevis' volume.

AI editor

Chris Boswell

Chris Boswell

K6PITvs ATL

Projected Points

Start· medium
Harrison Mevis

Harrison Mevis

K7LARvs SF

Projected Points

Start

Why Chris Boswell

Start· medium

Starting PK and one of the league's most accurate. Big leg with proven cold-weather clutch production.

Boswell is the K12 play with a 22.8 implied total, 2.1 projected FG tries and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game feeding the leg.

  • His 50-plus track record this season gives him a shot at bonus points Mevis hasn't shown he can produce as often.
  • A tighter, lower-scoring script actually plays to a high-accuracy kicker who cashes in on every stall.

The call

  • Consensus K12 at 9.0 projected points is squarely startable in a 12-team league — no replacement-level kicker beats that baseline.
  • Pittsburgh's 22.8 implied total plus 1.2 red-zone stalls per game funnels drives into field-goal tries: 1.9 makes on 2.1 attempts with 2.4 extra points projected.
  • He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, hitting 84% (27/32) and connecting from 50-plus in six games with a 60-yard long, so distance isn't a cap on his range.
  • Only real wrinkle is an open roof with no forecast yet — check wind before kickoff, but nothing in the sheet suggests a problem.

Why Harrison Mevis

Start

Starting K with strong leg. Big-distance range on field goals; limited career sample.

Start — K7 by consensus, projects K4 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs SF.

  • Plays in the higher-implied game, which means more total scoring drives and more chances at his leg getting used.
  • His red-zone stall rate is actually the feature here — more trips that end in three instead of seven.

Head-to-head stats

MetricChris BoswellHarrison Mevis
Projected points
Consensus rankK6K7
Projected FG attempts2.12.0
Red-zone stalls / game1.2(2025)1.6(2025)
Implied total · spread22.8-3.025.8-3.0
Field-goal %84.4%(2025)92.3%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 9.0 vs 9.4 projected PPR pointsHarrison Mevis +
  • Rank 6 vs 7Chris Boswell +
  • 2.1 vs 2.0 projected attemptsChris Boswell +
  • 1.2 vs 1.6 red-zone stalls per gameHarrison Mevis +
  • Kicking weathereven
  • Implied 22.8 vs 25.8 team pointsHarrison Mevis +
  • No injury designationseven

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