Start Cam Little over Eddy Pineiro — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Little — the consensus rank and red-zone opportunity edges are too wide to ignore.

Cam Little is the higher consensus play (K6 to K10) and gets more red-zone stalls to kick from (1.6 to 1.4 per game). Pineiro's edge is attempt volume, 2.1 to 2.1 projected attempts. The gap is narrow.

Cam Little

K6JAXvs CLE

8.88.88.8 Projected Points

Start

Eddy Pineiro

K10SFvs LAR

8.78.78.7 Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Start — K6 by consensus, projects K7 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.8 pts projected vs CLE.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
JAX's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has JAX at 24 points as 7.5-point favorites.
88% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.

Why Eddy Pineiro

Start· medium

Starting placekicker. Strong leg with veteran accuracy track record.

K10 with an elite 97% (28/29) hook, PK1 job locked and 1.4 red-zone stalls per game feeding 2.1 attempts on a 22.8 implied total.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
SF's offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has SF at 22.8 points as 3-point dogs.
97% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 5 games.

The call

Projection of 8.7 points ranks him K10 — squarely in startable territory in a 12-team league with no designation and PK1 status.
The offense is projected for a 22.8 implied total and stalls in the red zone 1.4 times per game, which is exactly the profile that turns into the 2.1 attempts and 2.0 extra points modeled here.
He's been automatic at 97% (28/29) with a 59-yard long and five 50-plus makes, so range and accuracy aren't caps on the projection.
Only real wrinkle: open roof with no forecast yet — check wind Sunday morning, but nothing on the sheet argues for benching him.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Cam Little	Eddy Pineiro
Projected points	8.88.88.8	8.78.78.7
Consensus rank	K6	K10
Projected FG attempts	2.1	2.1
Red-zone stalls / game	1.6(2025)	1.4(2025)
Implied total · spread	24.0-7.5	22.8+3.0
Field-goal %	88.2%(2025)	96.6%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1