Nick Folk or Will Reichard: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Reichard — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Will Reichard is the higher consensus play (K12 to K21) and projects 8.4 to Folk's 7.8. No signal favors Folk this week. The gap is comfortable.

Nick Folk

Nick Folk

K21ATLvs PIT

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Will Reichard

Will Reichard

K12MINvs GB

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Nick Folk

Toss-Up

Veteran starting kicker. Reliable accuracy and long-track-record consistency in the field-goal role.

Toss-up — K21 by consensus, projects K22 this week: 1.2 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.8 pts projected vs PIT.

  • 2.0 FG tries projected, right at the 2.0 league median this week.
  • ATL's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has ATL at 19.8 points as 3-point dogs.
  • 97% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.

Why Will Reichard

Toss-Up

Starting K with strong leg. Handles kickoffs and long-range attempts.

Toss-up — K12 by consensus, projects K14 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.3 red-zone stalls a game.

  • Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • MIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.

Head-to-head stats

MetricNick FolkWill Reichard
Projected points
Consensus rankK21K12
Projected FG attempts2.02.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.2(2025)1.3(2025)
Kicking conditions—Indoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread19.8+3.021.5+1.5
Field-goal %96.6%(2025)94.3%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 7.8 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsWill Reichard +
  • Rank 21 vs 12Will Reichard +
  • 2.0 vs 2.1 projected attemptsWill Reichard +
  • 1.2 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameWill Reichard +
  • Kicking weathereven
  • Implied 19.8 vs 21.5 team pointsWill Reichard +
  • No injury designationseven

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