Andy Borregales or Nick Folk: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Andy Borregales and Nick Folk grade out even this week. Borregales's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.6 to 1.2 stalls per game), Folk's best edge is the projection (7.8 to 6.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Andy Borregales

K21NEvs SEA

6.96.96.9 Projected Points

Sit

Nick Folk

K21ATLvs PIT

7.87.87.8 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Andy Borregales

Sit

Starting K with strong leg. Accurate placekicker handling all field-goal duties.

Sit — K21 by consensus, projects K32 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 6.9 pts projected vs SEA.

1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
NE's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has NE at 20.5 points as 3.5-point dogs.
84% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 4 games.

Why Nick Folk

Toss-Up

Veteran starting kicker. Reliable accuracy and long-track-record consistency in the field-goal role.

Toss-up — K21 by consensus, projects K22 this week: 1.2 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.8 pts projected vs PIT.

2.0 FG tries projected, right at the 2.0 league median this week.
ATL's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has ATL at 19.8 points as 3-point dogs.
97% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Andy Borregales	Nick Folk
Projected points	6.96.96.9	7.87.87.8
Consensus rank	K21	K21
Projected FG attempts	1.8	2.0
Red-zone stalls / game	1.6(2025)	1.2(2025)
Implied total · spread	20.5+3.5	19.8+3.0
Field-goal %	84.4%(2025)	96.6%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1