Andy Borregales or Daniel Carlson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Andy Borregales and Daniel Carlson grade out even this week. Borregales's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.6 to 1.5 stalls per game), Carlson's best edge is the projection (7.7 to 6.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Andy Borregales
6.96.96.9 Projected Points
Daniel Carlson
7.77.77.7 Projected Points
Why Andy Borregales
SitStarting K with strong leg. Accurate placekicker handling all field-goal duties.
Sit — K21 by consensus, projects K32 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 6.9 pts projected vs SEA.
- Calm forecast at kickoff.
- 1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
- NE's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has NE at 20.5 points as 3.5-point dogs.
Why Daniel Carlson
Toss-UpVeteran placekicker with big-leg range. Established accuracy over a long starting run.
Toss-up — K21 by consensus, projects K23 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.5 red-zone stalls a game.
- Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
- 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- NO's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has NO at 20.8 points as 7-point dogs.
Latest on Carlson
A collection of headlines and news about the Saints and the NFL for Tuesday, September 1
"Daniel is going to do a great job for us"
The Saints are signing free agent kicker Daniel Carlson, his agents told The NFL Network's Mike Garafolo and Ian Rapoport.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Andy Borregales | Daniel Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.96.96.9 | 7.77.77.7 |
| Consensus rank | K21 | K21 |
| Projected FG attempts | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 1.6(2025) | 1.5(2025) |
| Kicking conditions | Calm forecast at kickoff | Indoors, no weather risk |
| Implied total · spread | 20.5+3.5 | 20.8+7.0 |
| Field-goal % | 84.4%(2025) | 81.5%(2025) |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
Signal breakdown
- 6.9 vs 7.7 projected PPR pointsDaniel Carlson +
- Rank 21 vs 21Daniel Carlson +
- 1.8 vs 2.1 projected attemptsDaniel Carlson +
- 1.6 vs 1.5 red-zone stalls per gameAndy Borregales +
- 7 mph, 76°F, clear vs domeeven
- Implied 20.5 vs 20.8 team pointsDaniel Carlson +
- No injury designationseven
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
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This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DALJ. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NEQ. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAX
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAXD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUFM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MINJ. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs ATL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NOD. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MINC. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KC
- C. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KCP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLEM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHK. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PITT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DENM. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs INDJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYGI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SFD. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYGT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLEC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CARD. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
- D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEAK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs GB
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LARE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TBT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs INDW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GBJ. ElliottJake ElliottKPHIvs WSH
- J. ElliottJake ElliottKPHIvs WSHH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARITitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJJets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TENEagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSHBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CARPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAXT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TBM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO - D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUT. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
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- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHK. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
- K. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CINP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
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