Jets D/ST or Seahawks D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Seahawks — the lineup-share and home-field edges are too wide to ignore.

Seahawks D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 1 to 22) and plays at home. the Jets's edge is opponent giveaways, 3.5 sacks allowed to 3.0. The gap is wide.

Jets D/ST

D/STNYJvs TEN

Projected Points

Start· medium

Seahawks D/ST

D/STSEAvs NE

Projected Points

Start

Why Jets D/ST

Start· medium

Titans cough it up: 3.5 sacks and 1.1 turnovers allowed per game with just a 21.3 implied total — DST8 projection at 3% rostered is a free streamer.

  • TEN's offense gives up 3.5 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
  • Vegas has TEN at 21.3 points as 3-point favorites.
  • Under-started: only 3% of leagues have them in, 22nd among defenses, against a No. 8 matchup.

The call

  • Tennessee's offense hands out pressure and giveaways at a high rate — 3.5 sacks allowed and 1.1 turnovers per game — which is exactly the profile that turns a mid-tier defense into a top-10 weekly play.
  • The 21.3 opponent implied total caps the downside; 18.8 projected points allowed keeps Jets D/ST in scoring-bonus range even without a defensive touchdown.
  • Projected 2.4 sacks and 0.6 interceptions back a DST8 projection at 6.7 points — start-worthy in a 12-team league and available in nearly every one at 3% started.
  • Risk is the road setting and a tight 3.0-point spread: if the game stays close and Tennessee grinds the clock, the splash-play volume shrinks.

Why Seahawks D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 5 defensive matchup this week: 7.1 pts projected vs NE.

  • NE's offense gives up 3.0 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
  • Vegas has NE at 20.5 points as 3.5-point dogs.
  • Over-started: 91% of leagues have them in, 1st among defenses, against a No. 5 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJets D/STSeahawks D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST8Proj.DST5
Started in3% of leagues91% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game3.5(2025)3.0(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game1.1(2025)0.9(2025)
Opponent implied total21.320.5
Home / awayAwayHome

Signal breakdown

  • 6.7 vs 7.1 projected PPR pointsSeahawks D/ST +
  • Started rank 22 vs 1 (3% vs 91% of leagues)Seahawks D/ST +
  • 3.5 sacks / 1.1 TO vs 3.0 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedJets D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 21.3 vs 20.5 pointsSeahawks D/ST +
  • Away vs HomeSeahawks D/ST +

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