Jalen Hurts or Jaxson Dart: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Hurts — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
Jalen Hurts projects 21.1 to Dart's 18.5 and is the higher consensus play (QB6 to QB9). No signal favors Dart this week. The gap is comfortable.
Jalen Hurts
21.121.121.1 Projected Points
Jaxson Dart
18.518.518.5 Projected Points
Why Jalen Hurts
Start· highStarting QB and franchise cornerstone. Dual-threat with elite short-yardage rushing and Super Bowl pedigree.
QB6 with a 21.1-point projection, a 26.0 implied total and a soft (23 of 32) Washington matchup — Hurts is a set-and-forget QB1.
- WSH ranks 23 of 32 against QBs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 98% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Consensus has him at QB6 with 21.1 projected points; that's a locked starting QB in any 12-team format.
- Vegas backs the volume: 26.0 implied team total as a 5.5-point favorite, a script that keeps Hurts involved through the air and on the goal line.
- Washington grades 23 of 32 in DvP composite — a plus matchup, though the 0-game sample means lean on role and Vegas more than the defensive number.
- No injury designation and he's the unquestioned QB1 on the depth chart; rushing floor caps the downside even if the Eagles get out to a lead.
Latest on Hurts
There is no shortage of storylines surrounding the Eagles as they ready for an intrigue-filled 2026 season.
ESPN · Sep 4, 2026
Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts confirmed former teammate A.J. Brown's comments that the two had grown apart last season in QB's interview with GQ magazine.
ESPN · Sep 3, 2026
Eagles general manager Howie Roseman said he does not agree with the idea that this is a make-or-break season for Jalen Hurts.
ESPN · Sep 2, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Jaxson Dart
Start· mediumStarting QB and franchise building block. Dual-threat with designed-run production and aggressive downfield arm.
QB9 consensus at 18.5 projected with a soft Dallas matchup (28th of 32 DvP) and a one-score script that keeps him throwing.
- DAL ranks 28 of 32 against QBs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Consensus has him as the QB9 at 18.5 projected points — that is a clear starter in a 12-team league, not a streamer flier.
- Dallas grades 28th of 32 in defense-vs-QB composite; the sample is thin (0 games, 0.00 confidence), but nothing in the sheet points to a tough draw.
- A 1.5-point spread and a 23.5 implied team total mean a competitive game with meaningful volume — no blowout risk that shrinks his dropbacks.
- He's the locked-in QB1 on the depth chart with no injury designation, so the floor is a full workload.
Latest on Dart
Orlovsky: Giants offense will be their best in 10 years
ESPN · Aug 31, 2026
Catch up on our updates from Giants training camp, including intel on QBs, position battles and potential breakouts.
ESPN · Aug 26, 2026
Why Jaxson Dart is Mike Clay's guy at fantasy QB this season
ESPN · Sep 1, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jalen Hurts | Jaxson Dart |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 21.121.121.1 | 18.518.518.5 |
| Consensus rank | QB6 | QB9 |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 23 of 320-game sample | DAL · 28 of 320-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 28 of 32 | 32 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 29 of 32 | 31 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | 16 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | 17 of 32 | 22 of 32 |
| Interceptions | 23 of 32 | 28 of 32 |
| Implied total · spread | 26.0-5.5 | 23.5+1.5 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 98%(2025) | 84%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 21.1 vs 18.5 projected PPR pointsJalen Hurts +
- Rank 6 vs 9Jalen Hurts +
- Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 28 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 26.0 vs 23.5 team pointsJalen Hurts +
- No injury designationseven
- 98% vs 84% snap shareJalen Hurts +
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