Start Cameron Dicker over Harrison Mevis — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Dicker — the consensus rank and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Cameron Dicker is the higher consensus play (K2 to K7) and plays in the better game script (28.5 implied team points to 25.8). No signal favors Mevis this week. The gap is comfortable.

Cameron Dicker

K2LACvs ARI

10.310.310.3 Projected Points

Start· high

Harrison Mevis

K7LARvs SF

9.49.49.4 Projected Points

Start

Why Cameron Dicker

Start· high

Starting kicker with elite accuracy and big-leg range. Among the league's most reliable placekickers.

K2 on the board with a 28.5 implied total in a dome, 93% accuracy and 1.8 red-zone stalls per game feeding steady FG tries.

Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
2.3 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
LAC's offense stalls in the red zone 1.8 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has LAC at 28.5 points as 11.5-point favorites.

The call

Dicker is the K2 consensus play at 10.3 projected points and the locked PK1 with no injury designation — nothing to think about at the position.
A 28.5 implied team total and -11.5 spread means volume: 3.1 projected extra points plus 2.3 field-goal attempts, and the offense stalls in the red zone 1.8 times per game to create those tries.
Indoors with no weather risk, and he's hit 38 of 41 (93%) with a 59-yard long and five games with a 50-plus make — the range keeps low-end outcomes off the table.

Why Harrison Mevis

Start

Starting K with strong leg. Big-distance range on field goals; limited career sample.

Start — K7 by consensus, projects K4 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs SF.

2.0 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
LAR's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has LAR at 25.8 points as 3-point favorites.
92% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 1 game.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Cameron Dicker	Harrison Mevis
Projected points	10.310.310.3	9.49.49.4
Consensus rank	K2	K7
Projected FG attempts	2.3	2.0
Red-zone stalls / game	1.8(2025)	1.6(2025)
Kicking conditions	Indoors, no weather risk	—
Implied total · spread	28.5-11.5	25.8-3.0
Field-goal %	92.7%(2025)	92.3%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1