Cam Ward or Malik Willis: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Cam Ward and Malik Willis grade out even this week. Ward's best edge is snap share (95% to 42%), Willis's best edge is the projection (15.1 to 13.6) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Cam Ward
13.613.613.6 Projected Points
Malik Willis
15.115.115.1 Projected Points
Why Cam Ward
Toss-UpStarting QB and franchise centerpiece. Big-armed improviser with off-platform creativity; second-year leap candidate.
Toss-up — QB24 consensus, projects QB29 this week: 95% snap share in 2025, 13.6 PPR projected vs NYJ.
- NYJ ranks 19 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 95% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Ward
Tennessee's newest coach and new offensive coordinator Brian Daboll are helping to elevate the second-year QB.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Malik Willis
Toss-UpStarting QB with dual-threat mobility. Strong arm and designed-run value; a career backup signed in free agency to take over the job.
Toss-up — QB22 consensus, projects QB23 this week: 42% snap share in 2025, 15.1 PPR projected vs LV.
- LV ranks 15 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 42% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Cam Ward | Malik Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 13.613.613.6 | 15.115.115.1 |
| Consensus rank | QB24 | QB22 |
| Opponent vs position | NYJ · 19 of 320-game sample | LV · 15 of 320-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 16 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 31 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | 9 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | 9 of 32 | 11 of 32 |
| Interceptions | 32 of 32 | 23 of 32 |
| Implied total · spread | 21.3-3.0 | 19.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 95%(2025) | 42%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 13.6 vs 15.1 projected PPR pointsMalik Willis +
- Rank 24 vs 22Malik Willis +
- Opponent DvP rank 19 vs 15 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 21.3 vs 19.3 team pointsCam Ward +
- No injury designationseven
- 95% vs 42% snap shareCam Ward +
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