Jordan Love or Malik Willis: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Love — the snap share and game script edges are too wide to ignore.
Jordan Love plays a 94% snap share to Willis's 42% and plays in the better game script (23.0 implied team points to 19.3). No signal favors Willis this week. The gap is comfortable.
Jordan Love
15.315.315.3 Projected Points
Malik Willis
15.115.115.1 Projected Points
Why Jordan Love
Toss-UpStarting QB and franchise passer. Big arm with elite off-platform throws and aggressive downfield mentality.
Toss-up — QB21 by consensus and projection: MIN is the 6th-toughest matchup vs QBs, 94% snap share in 2025.
- MIN ranks 6 of 32 against QBs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 94% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Love
LaFleur recently said Love is "the best I've been around in terms of protections and adjustments."
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Malik Willis
Toss-UpStarting QB with dual-threat mobility. Strong arm and designed-run value; a career backup signed in free agency to take over the job.
Toss-up — QB22 consensus, projects QB23 this week: 42% snap share in 2025, 15.1 PPR projected vs LV.
- LV ranks 15 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 42% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jordan Love | Malik Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 15.315.315.3 | 15.115.115.1 |
| Consensus rank | QB21 | QB22 |
| Opponent vs position | MIN · 6 of 320-game sample | LV · 15 of 320-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 2 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 2 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | 2 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | 1 of 32 | 11 of 32 |
| Interceptions | 23 of 32 | 23 of 32 |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0-1.5 | 19.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 94%(2025) | 42%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 15.3 vs 15.1 projected PPR pointsJordan Love +
- Rank 21 vs 22Jordan Love +
- Opponent DvP rank 6 vs 15 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.0 vs 19.3 team pointsJordan Love +
- No injury designationseven
- 94% vs 42% snap shareJordan Love +
Compare different players
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