Tyjae Spears or Woody Marks: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Tyjae Spears and Woody Marks grade out even this week. Spears's best edge is the projection (9.4 to 8.3), Marks's best edge is snap share (52% to 46%) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Tyjae Spears
RB41TENvs NYJ
6.57.99.4 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Woody Marks
RB44HOUvs BUF
6.87.58.3 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Why Tyjae Spears
Toss-UpChange-of-pace RB2 in complementary role. Explosive, elusive receiving back with third-down passing-game usage.
Toss-up — RB41 consensus, projects RB38 this week: NYJ is the 8th-softest matchup vs RBs, 12% target share in 2025.
- NYJ ranks 25 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 46% snap share in 2025.
Why Woody Marks
Toss-UpRB2 behind David Montgomery. Between-the-tackles committee back who carried 196 times for 703 yards as a rookie with light pass-game usage.
Toss-up — RB44 consensus, projects RB43 this week: 7% target share in 2025, 8.3 PPR projected vs BUF.
- BUF ranks 20 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 52% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Tyjae Spears | Woody Marks |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.57.99.4 | 6.87.58.3 |
| Consensus rank | RB41 | RB44 |
| Opponent vs position | NYJ · 25 of 320-game sample | BUF · 20 of 320-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 28 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | 29 of 32 | 32 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | 30 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Receptions | 8 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 21 of 32 | 6 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 32 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Target share | 12%(2025) | 7%(2025) |
| Reception share | 17%(2025) | 7%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 21.3-3.0 | 22.0+1.5 |
| Depth chart | RB2 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 46%(2025) | 52%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 9.4 vs 8.3 projected PPR pointsTyjae Spears +
- Rank 41 vs 44Tyjae Spears +
- Opponent DvP rank 25 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 21.3 vs 22.0 team pointsWoody Marks +
- No injury designationseven
- 46% vs 52% snap shareWoody Marks +
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