Colts D/ST or 49ers D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Colts D/ST and 49ers D/ST grade out even this week. the Colts's best edge is opponent giveaways (2.6 sacks allowed to 1.8), the 49ers's best edge is lineup share (started rank 20 to 27) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Colts D/ST
3.03.03.0 Projected Points

49ers D/ST
2.62.62.6 Projected Points
Why Colts D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 30): Vegas has BAL at 26.5 points, and 3.0 pts projected vs BAL.
- BAL's offense gives up 2.6 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has BAL at 26.5 points as 3.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 1% of leagues have them in, 27th among defenses, against a No. 30 matchup.
Why 49ers D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 32): LAR protects the ball (0.9 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 25.8 points.
- LAR's offense gives up 1.8 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), below league average.
- Vegas has LAR at 25.8 points as 3-point favorites.
- Over-started: 4% of leagues have them in, 20th among defenses, against a No. 32 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Colts D/ST | 49ers D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.03.03.0 | 2.62.62.6 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST30 | Proj.DST32 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 4% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.6(2025) | 1.8(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.4(2025) | 0.9(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 26.5 | 25.8 |
| Home / away | Home | Away |
Signal breakdown
- 3.0 vs 2.6 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
- Started rank 27 vs 20 (1% vs 4% of leagues)49ers D/ST +
- 2.6 sacks / 1.4 TO vs 1.8 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedColts D/ST +
- Opponent implied 26.5 vs 25.8 points49ers D/ST +
- Home vs AwayColts D/ST +
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I. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
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M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
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