Colts D/ST or Saints D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Colts D/ST and Saints D/ST grade out even this week. the Colts's best edge is home field (home to away), the Saints's best edge is lineup share (started rank 23 to 27) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Colts D/ST

D/STINDvs BAL

Projected Points

Sit

Saints D/ST

D/STNOvs DET

Projected Points

Sit

Why Colts D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 30): Vegas has BAL at 26.5 points, and 3.0 pts projected vs BAL.

  • BAL's offense gives up 2.6 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
  • Vegas has BAL at 26.5 points as 3.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 1% of leagues have them in, 27th among defenses, against a No. 30 matchup.

Why Saints D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 31): Vegas has DET at 27.8 points, and 2.8 pts projected vs DET.

  • DET's offense gives up 3.0 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
  • Vegas has DET at 27.8 points as 7-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 2% of leagues have them in, 23rd among defenses, against a No. 31 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricColts D/STSaints D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST30Proj.DST31
Started in1% of leagues2% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game2.6(2025)3.0(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game1.4(2025)0.9(2025)
Opponent implied total26.527.8
Home / awayHomeAway

Signal breakdown

  • 3.0 vs 2.8 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
  • Started rank 27 vs 23 (1% vs 2% of leagues)Saints D/ST +
  • 2.6 sacks / 1.4 TO vs 3.0 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedColts D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 26.5 vs 27.8 pointsColts D/ST +
  • Home vs AwayColts D/ST +

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