Hunter Henry or Pat Freiermuth: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Henry's snap count vs Freiermuth's scoreboard: pick your poison at TE
Henry logs snaps at a rate Freiermuth simply doesn't match, and that gap in on-field time is the single biggest factor separating these two — it's why Henry gets more competitive as a matchup-independent floor play. But Freiermuth plays in a game his team is favored to control on the scoreboard, while Henry's Patriots project as the lower-scoring side against Seattle, capping his red-zone chances even with more routes run. Freiermuth's tougher assignment against Atlanta's stingy TE defense is real, but so is Henry's shallower target share — neither offense is funneling enough looks to either tight end to make this anything but a coin flip. Take the one whose format and league settings reward raw playing time a little more; there's no clean projection edge to lean on here.
What flips it: A snap-share bump for either player this week, or an in-game script that turns into a blowout for one side.
AI editor

Hunter Henry
5.06.68.3 Projected Points

Pat Freiermuth
4.96.78.4 Projected Points
Why Hunter Henry
Toss-Up· mediumTE1 and volume pass-catcher. Dependable seam and red-zone target with in-line blocking chops.
18% target share keeps Henry involved, but a 20.5 implied total vs Seattle caps him at the TE18 line — a matchup-based dart, not a set-and-forget play.
- His 79% snap share dwarfs Freiermuth's, giving him more paths to targets even in a tighter market share.
- In-line blocking chops mean he stays on the field on early downs, unlike a more passing-down-only option.
The call
- Role is not the issue: 79% snap share and an 18% target share make Henry a genuine every-down piece of this passing game, which is why he's usable at all in 12-team PPR.
- The environment is the problem — a 20.5 implied team total and a 3.5-point spread point to a compressed, low-volume script, and the consensus 8.3 projection reflects that ceiling.
- TE18 on the board means he's outside the standard 12-team starter tier; he's a touchdown-or-bust play whose floor depends on red-zone looks rather than yardage.
- Tip it toward starting if your alternative is a sub-15% target share backup TE; sit him if you have any TE attached to a higher-scoring game environment.
Why Pat Freiermuth
Toss-UpTE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.
Toss-up — TE18 consensus, projects TE17 this week: ATL is the 3rd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 12% target share in 2025.
- Playing for the favored team means more offensive snaps overall and more red-zone possessions to work with.
- Reliable hands and red-zone size make him a plausible scorer even against a defense that limits TE volume.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Hunter Henry | Pat Freiermuth |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.06.68.3 | 4.96.78.4 |
| Consensus rank | TE20 | TE18 |
| Opponent vs position | SEA · 20 of 320-game sample | ATL · 3 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 26 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 27 of 32 | 8 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 9 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 28 of 32 | 4 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 9 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 18%(2025) | 12%(2025) |
| Reception share | 17%(2025) | 13%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 20.5+3.5 | 22.8-3.0 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 79%(2025) | 53%(2025) |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | — |
Signal breakdown
- 8.3 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsPat Freiermuth +
- Rank 20 vs 18Pat Freiermuth +
- Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 3 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 20.5 vs 22.8 team pointsPat Freiermuth +
- No injury designationseven
- 79% vs 53% snap shareHunter Henry +
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