Hunter Henry or Pat Freiermuth: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Henry's snap count vs Freiermuth's scoreboard: pick your poison at TE

Henry logs snaps at a rate Freiermuth simply doesn't match, and that gap in on-field time is the single biggest factor separating these two — it's why Henry gets more competitive as a matchup-independent floor play. But Freiermuth plays in a game his team is favored to control on the scoreboard, while Henry's Patriots project as the lower-scoring side against Seattle, capping his red-zone chances even with more routes run. Freiermuth's tougher assignment against Atlanta's stingy TE defense is real, but so is Henry's shallower target share — neither offense is funneling enough looks to either tight end to make this anything but a coin flip. Take the one whose format and league settings reward raw playing time a little more; there's no clean projection edge to lean on here.

What flips it: A snap-share bump for either player this week, or an in-game script that turns into a blowout for one side.

AI editor

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry

TE20NEvs SEA

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium
Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

TE18PITvs ATL

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Hunter Henry

Toss-Up· medium

TE1 and volume pass-catcher. Dependable seam and red-zone target with in-line blocking chops.

18% target share keeps Henry involved, but a 20.5 implied total vs Seattle caps him at the TE18 line — a matchup-based dart, not a set-and-forget play.

  • His 79% snap share dwarfs Freiermuth's, giving him more paths to targets even in a tighter market share.
  • In-line blocking chops mean he stays on the field on early downs, unlike a more passing-down-only option.

The call

  • Role is not the issue: 79% snap share and an 18% target share make Henry a genuine every-down piece of this passing game, which is why he's usable at all in 12-team PPR.
  • The environment is the problem — a 20.5 implied team total and a 3.5-point spread point to a compressed, low-volume script, and the consensus 8.3 projection reflects that ceiling.
  • TE18 on the board means he's outside the standard 12-team starter tier; he's a touchdown-or-bust play whose floor depends on red-zone looks rather than yardage.
  • Tip it toward starting if your alternative is a sub-15% target share backup TE; sit him if you have any TE attached to a higher-scoring game environment.

Why Pat Freiermuth

Toss-Up

TE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.

Toss-up — TE18 consensus, projects TE17 this week: ATL is the 3rd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 12% target share in 2025.

  • Playing for the favored team means more offensive snaps overall and more red-zone possessions to work with.
  • Reliable hands and red-zone size make him a plausible scorer even against a defense that limits TE volume.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHunter HenryPat Freiermuth
Projected points
Consensus rankTE20TE18
Opponent vs positionSEA · 20 of 320-game sampleATL · 3 of 320-game sample
Receptions26 of 323 of 32
Receiving Yards27 of 328 of 32
Receiving TDs9 of 321 of 32
Targets28 of 324 of 32
Anytime TD9 of 321 of 32
Target share18%(2025)12%(2025)
Reception share17%(2025)13%(2025)
Implied total · spread20.5+3.522.8-3.0
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share79%(2025)53%(2025)
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 8.3 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsPat Freiermuth +
  • Rank 20 vs 18Pat Freiermuth +
  • Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 3 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 20.5 vs 22.8 team pointsPat Freiermuth +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 79% vs 53% snap shareHunter Henry +

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