Dalton Schultz or Hunter Henry: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Dalton Schultz and Hunter Henry grade out even this week. Schultz's best edge is the game script (22.0 implied points to 20.5), Henry's best edge is snap share (79% to 71%) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Dalton Schultz

TE19HOUvs BUF

4.76.58.4 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Hunter Henry

TE20NEvs SEA

5.06.68.3 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Why Dalton Schultz

Toss-Up

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

Toss-up — TE19 by consensus and projection: BUF is the 3rd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 19% target share in 2025.

BUF ranks 3 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 71% snap share in 2025.

Why Hunter Henry

Toss-Up· medium

TE1 and volume pass-catcher. Dependable seam and red-zone target with in-line blocking chops.

18% target share keeps Henry involved, but a 20.5 implied total vs Seattle caps him at the TE18 line — a matchup-based dart, not a set-and-forget play.

SEA ranks 20 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 20.5 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 79% snap share in 2025.

The call

Role is not the issue: 79% snap share and an 18% target share make Henry a genuine every-down piece of this passing game, which is why he's usable at all in 12-team PPR.
The environment is the problem — a 20.5 implied team total and a 3.5-point spread point to a compressed, low-volume script, and the consensus 8.3 projection reflects that ceiling.
TE18 on the board means he's outside the standard 12-team starter tier; he's a touchdown-or-bust play whose floor depends on red-zone looks rather than yardage.
Tip it toward starting if your alternative is a sub-15% target share backup TE; sit him if you have any TE attached to a higher-scoring game environment.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Dalton Schultz	Hunter Henry
Projected points	4.76.58.4	5.06.68.3
Consensus rank	TE19	TE20
Opponent vs position	BUF · 3 of 320-game sample	SEA · 20 of 320-game sample
Receptions	1 of 32	26 of 32
Receiving Yards	2 of 32	27 of 32
Receiving TDs	6 of 32	9 of 32
Targets	1 of 32	28 of 32
Anytime TD	5 of 32	9 of 32
Target share	19%(2025)	18%(2025)
Reception share	23%(2025)	17%(2025)
Implied total · spread	22.0+1.5	20.5+3.5
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	71%(2025)	79%(2025)
Start/Sit record	—	0–0+1 toss-up