DeVonta Smith or Rashee Rice: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
DeVonta Smith and Rashee Rice grade out even this week. Smith's best edge is the game script (26.0 implied points to 22.5), Rice's best edge is availability (a clean report to Smith's Questionable) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

DeVonta Smith
9.512.114.8 Projected Points

Rashee Rice
9.111.714.4 Projected Points
Why DeVonta Smith
StartWR1-caliber outside receiver. Elite route technician with reliable hands and high target volume.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR12: WSH is the 10th-softest matchup vs WRs, 26.0 implied team total.
- Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
- WSH ranks 23 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.
Why Rashee Rice
StartWR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with heavy in-breaking route usage.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR14: 30% target share in 2025, 14.4 PPR projected vs DEN.
- DEN ranks 13 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 22.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 75% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Rice
Kansas City had one of the NFL's worst play-action passing attacks last season. Expect that to change in 2026.
ESPN · Aug 27, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | DeVonta Smith | Rashee Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 9.512.114.8 | 9.111.714.4 |
| Consensus rank | WR12 | WR14 |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 23 of 320-game sample | DEN · 13 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 25 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 27 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 22 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 23 of 32 | 28 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 18 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 24%(2025) | 30%(2025) |
| Reception share | 24%(2025) | 31%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 26.0-5.5 | 22.5-2.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 84%(2025) | 75%(2025) |
| Injury designation | Questionable | — |
Signal breakdown
- 14.8 vs 14.4 projected PPR pointsDeVonta Smith +
- Rank 12 vs 14DeVonta Smith +
- Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 13 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 26.0 vs 22.5 team pointsDeVonta Smith +
- Questionable vs no designationRashee Rice +
- 84% vs 75% snap shareDeVonta Smith +
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