DeVonta Smith or Garrett Wilson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
DeVonta Smith and Garrett Wilson grade out even this week. Smith's best edge is the game script (26.0 implied points to 18.3), Wilson's best edge is availability (a clean report to Smith's Questionable) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
DeVonta Smith
9.512.114.8 Projected Points
Garrett Wilson
8.911.814.8 Projected Points
Why DeVonta Smith
StartWR1-caliber outside receiver. Elite route technician with reliable hands and high target volume.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR12: WSH is the 10th-softest matchup vs WRs, 26.0 implied team total.
- Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
- WSH ranks 23 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.
Why Garrett Wilson
StartWR1 and alpha target. Elite separation quickness and contested-catch skill; missed time cut his sample last season.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR12: TEN is the 10th-softest matchup vs WRs, 18.3 implied team total caps the ceiling.
- TEN ranks 23 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 18.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 87% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | DeVonta Smith | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 9.512.114.8 | 8.911.814.8 |
| Consensus rank | WR12 | WR12 |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 23 of 320-game sample | TEN · 23 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 25 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 27 of 32 | 29 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 22 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Targets | 23 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 18 of 32 | 22 of 32 |
| Target share | 24%(2025) | 30%(2025) |
| Reception share | 24%(2025) | 29%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 26.0-5.5 | 18.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 84%(2025) | 87%(2025) |
| Injury designation | Questionable | — |
Signal breakdown
- 14.8 vs 14.8 projected PPR pointsDeVonta Smith +
- Rank 12 vs 12DeVonta Smith +
- Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 23 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 26.0 vs 18.3 team pointsDeVonta Smith +
- Questionable vs no designationGarrett Wilson +
- 84% vs 87% snap shareGarrett Wilson +
Compare different players
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