Lions D/ST or Steelers D/ST: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Lions D/ST and Steelers D/ST grade out even this week. the Lions's best edge is opponent giveaways (3.1 sacks allowed to 1.9), the Steelers's best edge is lineup share (started rank 2 to 8) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Lions D/ST

D/STDETvs NO

7.47.47.4 Projected Points

Start

Steelers D/ST

D/STPITvs ATL

7.57.57.5 Projected Points

Start

Why Lions D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 4 defensive matchup this week: 7.4 pts projected vs NO.

NO's offense gives up 3.1 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
Vegas has NO at 20.8 points as 7-point dogs.
Under-started: only 63% of leagues have them in, 8th among defenses, against a No. 4 matchup.

Why Steelers D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 2 defensive matchup this week: ATL protects the ball (1.1 turnovers a game), and 7.5 pts projected vs ATL.

ATL's offense gives up 1.9 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), below league average.
Vegas has ATL at 19.8 points as 3-point dogs.
Started in 91% of leagues, 2nd among defenses, in line with a No. 2 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Lions D/ST	Steelers D/ST
Projected points	7.47.47.4	7.57.57.5
Projection rank	Proj.DST4	Proj.DST2
Started in	63% of leagues	91% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game	3.1(2025)	1.9(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game	1.4(2025)	1.1(2025)
Opponent implied total	20.8	19.8
Home / away	Home	Home