Browns D/ST or Patriots D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Browns D/ST and Patriots D/ST grade out even this week. the Browns's best edge is opponent giveaways (3.4 sacks allowed to 2.1), the Patriots's best edge is lineup share (started rank 9 to 11) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Browns D/ST
D/STCLEvs JAX
4.94.94.9 Projected Points
Sit
Patriots D/ST
D/STNEvs SEA
4.74.74.7 Projected Points
Sit
Why Browns D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 17): Vegas has JAX at 24 points, and 4.9 pts projected vs JAX.
- JAX's offense gives up 3.4 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has JAX at 24 points as 7.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 52% of leagues have them in, 11th among defenses, against a No. 17 matchup.
Why Patriots D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 19): Vegas has SEA at 24 points, and 4.7 pts projected vs SEA.
- SEA's offense gives up 2.1 sacks and 1.6 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has SEA at 24 points as 3.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 57% of leagues have them in, 9th among defenses, against a No. 19 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Browns D/ST | Patriots D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.94.94.9 | 4.74.74.7 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST17 | Proj.DST19 |
| Started in | 52% of leagues | 57% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 3.4(2025) | 2.1(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.1(2025) | 1.6(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 24.0 | 24.0 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
Signal breakdown
- 4.9 vs 4.7 projected PPR pointsBrowns D/ST +
- Started rank 11 vs 9 (52% vs 57% of leagues)Patriots D/ST +
- 3.4 sacks / 1.1 TO vs 2.1 sacks / 1.6 TO per game allowedBrowns D/ST +
- Opponent implied 24.0 vs 24.0 pointseven
- Away vs Awayeven
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J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
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- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PITT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DENM. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs INDJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYGI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SFD. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYGT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLEC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CARD. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
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- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
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- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TBT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
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- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DENC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CIN
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Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
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