Greg Dulcich or Gunnar Helm: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Helm — the game script and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.
Gunnar Helm plays in the better game script (21.3 implied team points to 19.3) and plays a 53% snap share to Dulcich's 44%. No signal favors Dulcich this week. The gap is narrow.
Greg Dulcich
TE24MIAvs LV
4.15.67.1 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Gunnar Helm
TE23TENvs NYJ
4.25.87.5 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Why Greg Dulcich
Toss-UpTE1 in receiving role. Seam-stretching athlete with injury-marked career arc and limited blocking value.
Toss-up — TE24 by consensus and projection: LV is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 14% target share in 2025.
- LV ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 44% snap share in 2025.
Why Gunnar Helm
Toss-UpStarting TE and volume underneath target. Reliable seam and checkdown option with developing in-line blocking.
Toss-up — TE23 by consensus and projection: 11% target share in 2025, 7.5 PPR projected vs NYJ.
- NYJ ranks 20 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 53% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Greg Dulcich | Gunnar Helm |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.15.67.1 | 4.25.87.5 |
| Consensus rank | TE24 | TE23 |
| Opponent vs position | LV · 5 of 320-game sample | NYJ · 20 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 3 of 32 | 17 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 3 of 32 | 17 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 9 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Targets | 3 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 9 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Target share | 14%(2025) | 11%(2025) |
| Reception share | 15%(2025) | 14%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 19.3+3.0 | 21.3-3.0 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 44%(2025) | 53%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 7.1 vs 7.5 projected PPR pointsGunnar Helm +
- Rank 24 vs 23Gunnar Helm +
- Opponent DvP rank 5 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 19.3 vs 21.3 team pointsGunnar Helm +
- No injury designationseven
- 44% vs 53% snap shareGunnar Helm +
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