George Holani or Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Hill — the snap share and game script edges are too wide to ignore.
Justice Hill plays a 37% snap share to Holani's 6% and plays in the better game script (26.5 implied team points to 24.0). No signal favors Holani this week. The gap is comfortable.
George Holani
5.15.86.4 Projected Points
Justice Hill
4.86.07.2 Projected Points
Why George Holani
SitRB2 and rotational back. Compact one-cut runner with special-teams value and limited touch volume.
Sit — RB48 by consensus and projection: NE is the 10th-toughest matchup vs RBs, 24.0 implied team total.
- NE ranks 10 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 17-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 3.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 6% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Holani
With Zach Charbonnet set to miss the first four weeks on the PUP list, Seattle will turn to its first-round pick.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Justice Hill
Toss-UpChange-of-pace RB2 and passing-down back. Receiving chops and pass protection in third-down packages.
Toss-up — RB47 consensus, projects RB45 this week: 26.5 implied team total, 11% target share in 2025.
- IND ranks 12 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 17-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.5 team points as 3.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 37% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | George Holani | Justice Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.15.86.4 | 4.86.07.2 |
| Consensus rank | RB48 | RB47 |
| Opponent vs position | NE · 10 of 3217-game sample | IND · 12 of 3217-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 5 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | 4 of 32 | 12 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | 4 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Receptions | 26 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 17 of 32 | 4 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 4 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Target share | 1%(2025) | 11%(2025) |
| Reception share | 1%(2025) | 13%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 24.0-3.5 | 26.5-3.5 |
| Depth chart | RB2 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 6%(2025) | 37%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 6.4 vs 7.2 projected PPR pointsJustice Hill +
- Rank 48 vs 47Justice Hill +
- Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 12 (32 = softest)Justice Hill +
- Implied 24.0 vs 26.5 team pointsJustice Hill +
- No injury designationseven
- 6% vs 37% snap shareJustice Hill +
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