Start DJ Moore over Marvin Harrison Jr. — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Moore — the game script and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.

DJ Moore plays in the better game script (23.5 implied team points to 17.0) and plays a 85% snap share to Harrison's 71%. No signal favors Harrison this week. The gap is comfortable.

DJ Moore

WR31BUFvs HOU

7.79.711.6 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Marvin Harrison Jr.

WR32ARIvs LAC

7.39.411.5 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why DJ Moore

Toss-Up· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR26 with an 85% snap share, but a 16% target share and a top-10 tough DvP matchup vs Houston cap the ceiling in a 23.5-point team total.

HOU ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.

The call

Houston grades 7 of 32 in the DvP composite (32 = softest), one of the harder draws on the board — though the 0-game sample carries 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't be the whole case.
Role is secure: 85% snap share over 17 games means he's on the field for everything, but a 16% target share is thin for a WR who needs volume to clear his 11.6 projection.
A 1.5-point spread and 23.5 implied total point to a competitive script with neither shootout upside nor garbage-time volume baked in.
Tips to start if he's your WR3/flex in a 12-team PPR and the alternative is a bench-level committee piece; tips to sit if you have a WR with a defined red-zone or slot-volume edge this week.

Why Marvin Harrison Jr.

Toss-Up

WR1 and primary outside receiver. Polished route runner with elite catch-point ability; 2025 production capped by missed games.

Toss-up — WR32 by consensus and projection: LAC is the 9th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling.

LAC ranks 9 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 17.0 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 71% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	DJ Moore	Marvin Harrison Jr.
Projected points	7.79.711.6	7.39.411.5
Consensus rank	WR31	WR32
Opponent vs position	HOU · 7 of 320-game sample	LAC · 9 of 320-game sample
Receptions	4 of 32	11 of 32
Receiving Yards	11 of 32	10 of 32
Receiving TDs	5 of 32	5 of 32
Targets	12 of 32	16 of 32
Anytime TD	4 of 32	4 of 32
Target share	16%(2025)	17%(2025)
Reception share	15%(2025)	14%(2025)
Implied total · spread	23.5-1.5	17.0+11.5
Depth chart	WR1	WR1
Snap share	85%(2025)	71%(2025)
Start/Sit record	0–0+1 toss-up	—