Brian Robinson Jr. or Jonah Coleman: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Brian Robinson Jr. and Jonah Coleman grade out even this week. Robinson's best edge is the projection (5.0 to 4.1), Coleman's best edge is the consensus rank (RB50 to RB51) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB51ATLvs PIT

4.54.75.0 Projected Points

Sit

Jonah Coleman

RB50DENvs KC

3.13.64.1 Projected Points

Sit

Why Brian Robinson Jr.

Sit

RB2 and return-game option. Downhill power back for short-yardage and complementary carries behind the starter.

Sit — RB51 consensus, projects RB54 this week: 2% target share in 2025, 5.0 PPR projected vs PIT.

PIT ranks 13 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 19.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 17% snap share in 2025.

Latest on Robinson

Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins: Game Highlights

VideoESPN · Aug 28, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Jonah Coleman

Sit

Rookie RB3 and depth back. Compact, physical runner with no NFL regular-season sample yet.

Sit — RB50 consensus, projects RB60 this week: KC is the 9th-toughest matchup vs RBs, 4.1 PPR projected vs KC.

KC ranks 9 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 20.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Brian Robinson Jr.	Jonah Coleman
Projected points	4.54.75.0	3.13.64.1
Consensus rank	RB51	RB50
Opponent vs position	PIT · 13 of 320-game sample	KC · 9 of 320-game sample
Rushing Yards	16 of 32	8 of 32
Rushing TDs	1 of 32	4 of 32
Rushing Attempts	20 of 32	10 of 32
Receptions	18 of 32	12 of 32
Receiving Yards	18 of 32	14 of 32
Anytime TD	2 of 32	6 of 32
Target share	2%(2025)	—
Reception share	2%(2025)	—
Implied total · spread	19.8+3.0	20.0+2.5
Depth chart	RB2	RB3
Snap share	17%(2025)	—