Alec Pierce or Xavier Worthy: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role isn't the issue: 86% snap share and an 18% target share over 15 games means he's on the field for everything Indy runs.
• The problem is the price of admission — WR47 at 9.7 projected points sits below the typical WR3/flex cut line in a 12-team PPR league, and PPR scoring doesn't flatter a low-volume field-stretcher.
• Availability is the swing factor: the sheet lists him as PUP-P with status normalized to unknown, so this call is unstartable until his game status clears.
• Matchup offers no tiebreaker — the DvP composite ranks Baltimore 24 of 32 (softer end) but it's built on a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so treat it as noise. A 23.0 implied total with a 3.5-point spread points to a competitive script rather than a pass-heavy chase.

The call

• The projection is the problem: 9.5 PPR points and a WR50 consensus rank sit under what a typical 12-team waiver flex delivers, so he's a bench body unless you're thin.
• Role is real but not commanding — WR-2 with a 71% snap share and only a 16% target share over 14 games means he needs a long touchdown to hit value.
• Denver grades 13 of 32 in the DvP composite, tougher than league average, and that's on a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no soft-matchup bump to lean on.
• A 22.5 implied team total with a -2.5 spread points to a moderate-scoring, close game — no shootout script forcing extra volume his way.