Jalen Hurts or Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Hurts — the projection and game script edges are too wide to ignore.
Jalen Hurts projects 21.1 to Allen's 19.3 and plays in the better game script (26.0 implied team points to 23.5). Allen's edge is snap share, 98% to 98%. The gap is narrow.
Jalen Hurts
21.121.121.1 Projected Points
Josh Allen
19.319.319.3 Projected Points
Why Jalen Hurts
Start· highStarting QB and franchise cornerstone. Dual-threat with elite short-yardage rushing and Super Bowl pedigree.
QB6 with a 21.1-point projection, a 26.0 implied total and a soft (23 of 32) Washington matchup — Hurts is a set-and-forget QB1.
- WSH ranks 23 of 32 against QBs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 98% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Consensus has him at QB6 with 21.1 projected points; that's a locked starting QB in any 12-team format.
- Vegas backs the volume: 26.0 implied team total as a 5.5-point favorite, a script that keeps Hurts involved through the air and on the goal line.
- Washington grades 23 of 32 in DvP composite — a plus matchup, though the 0-game sample means lean on role and Vegas more than the defensive number.
- No injury designation and he's the unquestioned QB1 on the depth chart; rushing floor caps the downside even if the Eagles get out to a lead.
Latest on Hurts
Jalen Hurts is identified as the Eagles' QB1.
For Jalen Hurts, it's more than just fulfilling a wishphiladelphiaeagles.com · Sep 2, 2026Jalen Hurts is the Eagles' QB1.
Meet the 12-year-old Eagles fan who inspired Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkleyphiladelphiaeagles.com · Aug 13, 2026Jalen Hurts is adapting to a new offense and working with Sean Mannion as its coordinator.
Jalen Hurts: 'It will be a fun Training Camp'philadelphiaeagles.com · Jul 27, 2026There is no shortage of storylines surrounding the Eagles as they ready for an intrigue-filled 2026 season.
Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts confirmed former teammate A.J. Brown's comments that the two had grown apart last season in QB's interview with GQ magazine.
Eagles general manager Howie Roseman said he does not agree with the idea that this is a make-or-break season for Jalen Hurts.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Josh Allen
StartFranchise QB and MVP-caliber dual threat. Elite arm strength with designed-run and goal-line rushing volume.
Start — every-week QB start at consensus QB3: HOU is the 8th-toughest matchup vs QBs, 98% snap share in 2025.
- HOU ranks 8 of 32 against QBs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 98% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jalen Hurts | Josh Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 21.121.121.1 | 19.319.319.3 |
| Consensus rank | QB2 | QB3 |
| Opponent vs position | WSH · 23 of 320-game sample | HOU · 8 of 320-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 28 of 32 | 6 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 29 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | 16 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | 17 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Interceptions | 23 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Implied total · spread | 26.0-5.5 | 23.5-1.5 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 98%(2025) | 98%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 21.1 vs 19.3 projected PPR pointsJalen Hurts +
- Rank 2 vs 3Jalen Hurts +
- Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 8 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 26.0 vs 23.5 team pointsJalen Hurts +
- No injury designationseven
- 98% vs 98% snap shareJosh Allen +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Hurts comparisons
More Allen comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DALJ. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NEQ. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAX
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAXD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUFM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MINJ. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs ATL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NOD. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MINC. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KC
- C. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KCP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLEM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHK. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PITT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DENM. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs INDJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYGI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SFD. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYGT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLEC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CARD. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
- D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEAK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs GB
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LARE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TBT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs INDW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GBJ. ElliottJake ElliottKPHIvs WSH
- J. ElliottJake ElliottKPHIvs WSHH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARITitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJJets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TENEagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSHBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CARPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAXT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TBM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO - D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUT. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
- T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MINS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHK. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
- K. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CINP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
Want full matchup analysis & AI picks? →
Save your roster and get a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up call on every player, every week — plus prop pages, matchup data, and AI-powered NFL analysis.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.