Broncos D/ST or Jets D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start the Broncos — the lineup-share edge is too wide to ignore.
Broncos D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 4 to 22). the Jets's edge is opponent giveaways, 3.5 sacks allowed to 2.9. The gap is narrow.

Broncos D/ST
5.95.95.9 Projected Points

Jets D/ST
6.76.76.7 Projected Points
Why Broncos D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 11): 5.9 pts projected vs KC.
- KC's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has KC at 22.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 88% of leagues have them in, 4th among defenses, against a No. 11 matchup.
Why Jets D/ST
Start· mediumTitans cough it up: 3.5 sacks and 1.1 turnovers allowed per game with just a 21.3 implied total — DST8 projection at 3% rostered is a free streamer.
- TEN's offense gives up 3.5 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
- Vegas has TEN at 21.3 points as 3-point favorites.
- Under-started: only 3% of leagues have them in, 22nd among defenses, against a No. 8 matchup.
The call
- Tennessee's offense hands out pressure and giveaways at a high rate — 3.5 sacks allowed and 1.1 turnovers per game — which is exactly the profile that turns a mid-tier defense into a top-10 weekly play.
- The 21.3 opponent implied total caps the downside; 18.8 projected points allowed keeps Jets D/ST in scoring-bonus range even without a defensive touchdown.
- Projected 2.4 sacks and 0.6 interceptions back a DST8 projection at 6.7 points — start-worthy in a 12-team league and available in nearly every one at 3% started.
- Risk is the road setting and a tight 3.0-point spread: if the game stays close and Tennessee grinds the clock, the splash-play volume shrinks.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Broncos D/ST | Jets D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.95.95.9 | 6.76.76.7 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST11 | Proj.DST8 |
| Started in | 88% of leagues | 3% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 3.5(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.9(2025) | 1.1(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 22.5 | 21.3 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
Signal breakdown
- 5.9 vs 6.7 projected PPR pointsJets D/ST +
- Started rank 4 vs 22 (88% vs 3% of leagues)Broncos D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 3.5 sacks / 1.1 TO per game allowedJets D/ST +
- Opponent implied 22.5 vs 21.3 pointsJets D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More D/ST comparisons
More D/ST comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAX
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAX
M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs ATL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
C. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KC
- C. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KC
P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
I. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
- D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
K. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs GB
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CIN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs JAX
T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
- T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
K. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
- K. GainwellKenny GainwellRBTBvs CIN
P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
Want full matchup analysis & AI picks? →
Save your roster and get a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up call on every player, every week — plus prop pages, matchup data, and AI-powered NFL analysis.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse NFL player props or this week’s Start/Sit board.