
Titans D/ST: Start or Sit?
Week 1 vs NYJ (home)
This week’s verdict
Start· medium
Jets' 18.3 implied total and 3.8 sacks allowed per game make Tennessee a DST7 stream that only 5% of leagues have started.
Projected
6.86.86.8
Same in standard, half-PPR and PPR
Projection rank
Proj. DST7
of 32
Started
5%
of leagues · 19 of 32 by lineup share
Opp. sacks / TO
3.8 / 1.4
allowed per game · 2025
Opp. implied total
18.3
19.6 projected allowed
Home / away
Home
vs NYJ
- NYJ's offense gives up 3.8 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
- Vegas has NYJ at 18.3 points as 3-point dogs.
- Under-started: only 5% of leagues have them in, 19th among defenses, against a No. 7 matchup.
The call
- The matchup is the whole case: New York carries an 18.3 implied total and has allowed 3.8 sacks with 1.4 turnovers per game, exactly the pressure-and-giveaway profile that fuels DST scoring.
- Tennessee projects for 6.8 points and ranks DST7 this week, yet sits at just 5% started (crowd rank 19 of 32) — a clear leverage play over a replacement-level unit.
- Home and favored by 3.0, the Titans should be able to sit on a low-volume offense; the projection of 2.9 sacks and 0.9 interceptions supports the sack-heavy floor.
- Risk is the 19.6 projected points allowed — a defensive TD or multi-turnover game is still needed for a big week, which is why this is a confident stream rather than a lock.
Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdict history
| Week | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 1 | Start· medium | Jets' 18.3 implied total and 3.8 sacks allowed per game make Tennessee a DST7 stream that only 5% of leagues have started. |
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