Jared Goff: Start or Sit?

The call

• The 27.8 implied team total is the strongest signal on the sheet — Detroit is projected to score plenty, and Goff is the locked-in QB1 with no injury designation, so the volume and touchdown equity are there.
• Consensus has him QB18 at 15.8 points, which is outside the starting dozen in a 12-team league; that's the concrete argument for leaving him on the bench if you roster a top-12 arm.
• The opponent DvP composite ranks 9 of 32 (tougher half), but it comes off a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't move the needle either way this week.
• A -7.0 spread cuts both ways: it points to a positive game script and red-zone chances, but a comfortable lead can hand the fourth quarter to the run game and cap his attempts. Tip it to start if your alternative is a sub-15-point streamer; sit him if you have an established QB1.