
Jake Elliott: Start or Sit?
Veteran starting K with big-leg range. Proven in high-leverage postseason kicks.
This week’s verdict
Start· medium
26.0 implied team total and a 5.5-point favorite role give Elliott a 3.0-XP floor plus 1.9 FG tries — enough volume despite the K20 tag.
Projected
8.58.58.5
Same in standard, half-PPR and PPR
Consensus
K12
position rank
Projected FGA
1.9
1.6 made projected
Implied total
26.0
team points
Weather
—
no forecast yet
Red-zone stalls
0.8
per game · 2025
FG%
74%
20/27 · 2025
- 1.9 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
- PHI's offense stalls in the red zone 0.8 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has PHI at 26 points as 5.5-point favorites.
- 74% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 3 games.
The call
- Philadelphia's 26.0 implied total is the key input: 3.0 projected extra points give Elliott a floor most K20-ranked kickers don't have, and 1.9 attempts add the upside.
- Only 0.8 red-zone stalls per game means this offense finishes drives rather than settling for field goals — that caps attempt volume but converts into the XP floor instead.
- Risk factors are real: 74% accuracy (20/27) is unimpressive and the K20 consensus rank says the market sees him as a fringe starter, so a shootout that stalls could leave 5-6 points.
- He's locked in as PK1 with no injury designation, and the open roof has no forecast yet — recheck weather before locking, since wind is the one thing that would flip this to a sit.
Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdict history
| Week | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 1 | Start· medium | 26.0 implied team total and a 5.5-point favorite role give Elliott a 3.0-XP floor plus 1.9 FG tries — enough volume despite the K20 tag. |
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