
Isaiah Likely: Start or Sit?
Starting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.
This week’s verdict
Toss-Up· medium
TE12 at 9.4 projected points with only a 59% snap share and 14% target share — a fine plug-in, but not a set-and-forget TE1.
Projected
5.67.59.4
StandardHalf PPRPPR
Consensus
TE12
position rank
Opponent
DAL
this week
Implied total
23.5
team points
- DAL ranks 10 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 59% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Consensus has him TE12 at 9.4 PPR points, which is exactly the 12-team starter/replacement boundary — he beats a streamer, but not by much.
- The role is part-time: 59% snap share and a 14% target share over 11 games means his ceiling depends on red-zone looks rather than volume.
- Dallas grades 10 of 32 in the DvP composite (32 = softest), a tougher-than-average draw, though the 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence mean that number shouldn't move the needle much.
- A 1.5-point spread and 23.5 implied total point to a competitive, pass-neutral script — if your alternative is a sub-8-point TE, start Likely; if you have a locked-in every-down tight end, sit him.
Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdict history
| Week | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 1 | Toss-Up· medium | TE12 at 9.4 projected points with only a 59% snap share and 14% target share — a fine plug-in, but not a set-and-forget TE1. |
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