Harrison Butker: Start or Sit?

K•vs DEN•Fantasy Football verdict

Veteran starting kicker with big-leg range. Proven under postseason pressure.

This week’s verdict

Start· medium

K10 with 8.5 projected, 87% accuracy and 1.5 red-zone stalls per game in a 22.5-point offense — enough volume to start in 12-team.

Projected

Same in standard, half-PPR and PPR

Consensus

K10

position rank

Projected FGA

2.1

1.8 made projected

Implied total

22.5

team points

Weather

—

no forecast yet

Red-zone stalls

1.5

per game · 2025

FG%

87%

33/38 · 2025

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
KC's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has KC at 22.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
87% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 5 games.

The call

Butker projects for 8.5 points at K10, which is above the replacement line in a 12-team league where only 12 kickers start.
Kansas City's implied total of 22.5 plus 1.5 red-zone stalls per game supports the 2.1 projected attempts and 2.1 extra points — his floor comes from a functional offense that also settles for field goals.
He's the locked-in PK1 with no injury designation, hitting 87% (33/38) with five 50-plus makes and a 59-yard long, so range isn't a limiter in a tight 2.5-point game.
Only real risk is the open roof with no forecast yet — heavy wind or precipitation against Denver would push this back toward a coin flip.

Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Latest on Butker

ESPN · Aug 28, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Week	Verdict	Reason
2026 Week 1	Start· medium	K10 with 8.5 projected, 87% accuracy and 1.5 red-zone stalls per game in a 22.5-point offense — enough volume to start in 12-team.

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