
Packers D/ST: Start or Sit?
Week 1 vs MIN (away)
This week’s verdict
Start· medium
Vikings cough it up 4.0 sacks and 1.8 turnovers per game, and a 21.5 implied total keeps the ceiling on — DST13 is a fine streaming play.
Projected
5.45.45.4
Same in standard, half-PPR and PPR
Projection rank
Proj. DST13
of 32
Started
12%
of leagues · 14 of 32 by lineup share
Opp. sacks / TO
4.0 / 1.8
allowed per game · 2025
Opp. implied total
21.5
20.6 projected allowed
Home / away
Away
at MIN
- MIN's offense gives up 4.0 sacks and 1.8 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
- Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.
- Started in 12% of leagues, 14th among defenses, in line with a No. 13 matchup.
The call
- Minnesota's offense allows 4.0 sacks and 1.8 turnovers per game, the exact pressure-and-takeaway profile that drives DST scoring; the model projects 2.3 sacks and 0.7 interceptions.
- A 21.5 opponent implied total and 20.6 projected points allowed keep this in the range where Green Bay can post a usable floor without needing a defensive touchdown.
- Road divisional game with a -1.5 spread is the main drag — no home boost, and a Vikings shootout script would flip this — but DST13 still beats the typical replacement at just 12% started.
Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdict history
| Week | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 1 | Start· medium | Vikings cough it up 4.0 sacks and 1.8 turnovers per game, and a 21.5 implied total keeps the ceiling on — DST13 is a fine streaming play. |
Want the full Packers D/ST matchup picture? →
Save your roster and get a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up call on every player, every week — plus prop pages, matchup data, and AI-powered NFL analysis.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse NFL player props or this week’s Start/Sit board.