
Evan McPherson: Start or Sit?
Starting placekicker with big-leg range. Proven clutch postseason performer.
This week’s verdict
Start· medium
27.0 implied total plus 89% accuracy (25/28) and a 63-yard long make McPherson a fine K play — 8.5 projected points, 2.7 XPs baked in.
Projected
8.58.58.5
Same in standard, half-PPR and PPR
Consensus
K12
position rank
Projected FGA
1.9
1.7 made projected
Implied total
27.0
team points
Weather
—
no forecast yet
Red-zone stalls
1.1
per game · 2025
FG%
89%
25/28 · 2025
- 1.9 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
- CIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.1 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has CIN at 27 points as 3.5-point favorites.
- 89% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 4 games.
The call
- A 27.0 implied team total is a top-tier kicker environment: 2.7 projected extra points plus 1.9 field-goal tries gives him one of the better volume floors at the position.
- He's been elite and locked in as PK1 — 89% accuracy on 25-of-28 with a 63-yard long and 50-plus makes in four games, so even stalled drives outside the 40 convert.
- Only 1.1 red-zone stalls per game is a mild ceiling cap — this offense finishes drives, which pushes his scoring toward XPs rather than three-pointers.
- Open roof with no forecast yet is the one thing to monitor; heavy wind would knock him back into the toss-up tier at K14.
Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdict history
| Week | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 1 | Start· medium | 27.0 implied total plus 89% accuracy (25/28) and a 63-yard long make McPherson a fine K play — 8.5 projected points, 2.7 XPs baked in. |
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